2024-12-13 04:38:14
In the shooting of the CEO of UNH insurance business, the hearing of the suspect Luigi Mangione (illegal gun possession) is scheduled for next Monday (December 16th).Zhang Jun, chief economist of Galaxy Securities, believes that it is expected that the Bank of China will cut interest rates and RRR more vigorously next year, and the policy interest rate may be lowered by 40-60 basis points for the whole year, leading the five-year LPR to decline by 60-100 basis points, and the RRR may be lowered by 150-250 basis points for the whole year.Seven Sisters | NVIDIA closed down more than 2.5%, Apple rose more than 1% and its market value exceeded 3.7 trillion US dollars. On Monday (December 9), among Magnificent 7, NVIDIA closed down 2.55%, Meta Platforms fell more than 1.6%, Amazon fell more than 0.4%, Tesla closed up more than 0.1%, and Google A and Microsoft rose about 0.5%. AMD closed down 5.57%, Lilly Pharmaceuticals fell 2.8%, TSMC ADR fell 1.9%, and Berkshire Hathaway B shares fell more than 1.4%.
Bonds are almost in a bearish state. Many brokers expect the Bank of China to cut interest rates next year, and the yield of 10-year government bonds may be around 1.8%. According to the Shanghai Stock Exchange, from the perspective of many institutions in 2025, the central bank's interest rate cuts will continue. Many institutions believe that in this context, the yield of 10-year government bonds will also fall to around 1.8%. Tan Yiming, a fixed-income analyst at Minsheng Securities, believes that this year's monetary policy framework reform has been promoted, and the 7-day reverse repo rate, as the main policy interest rate, has become the starting point of the interest rate transmission mechanism. It is expected that there will be one or two interest rate cuts in 2025, and the 7-day reverse repo rate will be lowered by about 20 to 40 basis points, and the 10-year government bond yield will be 1.7% to 1.8%.What you need to know about the global news overnight on Tuesday: 1. China's asset carnival overnight. The Hang Seng Index closed up 3.43% and the Hang Seng Technology Index closed up 4.22% overnight. China ETF rose more than 24% when it tripled its wealth. IShares MSCI China ETF closed up 7.76%. FTSE China A50 index futures reopened after closing up 4.66% yesterday afternoon, and closed up 0.86% at night. 2. Nasdaq China Jinlong Index closed up by 8.54%, and many popular Chinese stocks rose by more than 10%. Tiger Securities rose more than 26%, Futu Holdings rose more than 17%, Billie Billie rose more than 21%, Weilai and Xpeng Motors rose more than 12%, iQiyi rose more than 11%, JD.COM rose more than 11%, Pinduoduo and Netease rose more than 10%, and Alibaba, Baidu and LI rose more than 7%. Many rooms touched the fuse many times in intraday trading, and finally closed up 52.14%. 3. The three major US stock indexes collectively closed down, with the Dow down 0.54%, the Nasdaq down 0.62% and the S&P 500 down 0.61%. Bitcoin dropped to $95,000, cryptocurrency concept stocks fell, Riot Platforms fell more than 13%, Coinbase fell nearly 10%, MicroStrategy and Bit Digital fell more than 7%. 4. OpenAI released the long-awaited AI video generation model Sora. The new product is similar to the AI tool DALL-E of OpenArt. Users input the desired scene, and Sara will give back the results of HD video editing. 5. Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau said that if Trump imposes a 25% tariff, Canada "will respond". 6. French President Mark Long will convene representatives of most political parties to hold consultations on the candidate for prime minister on the 10th. 7. A 26-year-old man was arrested in Altoona, Pennsylvania on Monday, and new york police regarded him as a suspect in the shooting of Brian Thompson, CEO of United Health Insurance. 8. The latest issue of "Barometer of Trade in Goods" released by WTO shows that the prosperity index of global trade in goods in the fourth quarter of 2024 is 102.7, which is higher than the benchmark of 100. 9. It is reported that the snack and candy company Yizi International is exploring the acquisition of Hershey, a well-known American chocolate manufacturer. This potential transaction is expected to create a food giant with a total sales of nearly 50 billion US dollars. 10. The Special Investigation Department of the South Korean Prosecutor's Office said on the 9th local time that it issued an arrest warrant against former Defense Minister Jin Longxian on the grounds of "civil strife and abuse of power". 11. Oracle Bone Inscriptions's adjusted revenue in the second quarter was $14.06 billion, and it is expected to be $14.12 billion. Oracle Bone Inscriptions fell more than 8% after hours.A 5.7-magnitude earthquake occurred in Nevada, USA. On December 9, local time, according to the preliminary data of the US Geological Survey (USGS), a 5.7-magnitude earthquake occurred in Nevada, USA, with the epicenter located 22 kilometers north-northeast of Yerington.
Market information: US President-elect Trump discussed the possibility of his daughter-in-law Lala Trump running for the Senate seat in Florida.The position ETF--SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold ETF, decreased by 1.15 tons compared with the previous trading day, and the current position is 870.79 tons.The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 85.8%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 14.2%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 85.8%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 10.5%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 67.5%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 22%.
Strategy guide
Strategy guide
Strategy guide